Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000854 0.000888 0.000922 0.000960 0.000999 0.001040 0.001086
2025-10-12 0.000793 0.000843 0.000894 0.000953 0.001017 0.001086 0.001166
2025-10-19 0.000748 0.000808 0.000873 0.000948 0.001033 0.001128 0.001241
2025-10-26 0.000708 0.000776 0.000850 0.000939 0.001042 0.001159 0.001304
2025-11-02 0.000682 0.000756 0.000839 0.000940 0.001061 0.001201 0.001380
2025-11-09 0.000652 0.000731 0.000820 0.000930 0.001064 0.001224 0.001433
2025-11-16 0.000627 0.000708 0.000802 0.000920 0.001065 0.001243 0.001480
2025-11-23 0.000617 0.000703 0.000805 0.000934 0.001096 0.001299 0.001577
2025-11-30 0.000602 0.000692 0.000799 0.000936 0.001113 0.001337 0.001651
2025-12-07 0.000582 0.000674 0.000783 0.000925 0.001110 0.001349 0.001692
2025-12-14 0.000563 0.000654 0.000765 0.000911 0.001103 0.001355 0.001722
2025-12-21 0.000548 0.000640 0.000753 0.000903 0.001104 0.001370 0.001767
2025-12-28 0.000522 0.000612 0.000723 0.000872 0.001072 0.001341 0.001746
2026-01-04 0.000510 0.000602 0.000715 0.000869 0.001078 0.001363 0.001802
2026-01-11 0.000499 0.000592 0.000707 0.000866 0.001084 0.001386 0.001860
2026-01-18 0.000487 0.000580 0.000697 0.000859 0.001084 0.001400 0.001903
2026-01-25 0.000479 0.000574 0.000693 0.000860 0.001095 0.001431 0.001976
2026-02-01 0.000468 0.000562 0.000682 0.000851 0.001092 0.001439 0.002013
2026-02-08 0.000457 0.000551 0.000671 0.000842 0.001088 0.001446 0.002047
2026-02-15 0.000454 0.000551 0.000676 0.000854 0.001115 0.001501 0.002165
2026-02-22 0.000449 0.000546 0.000673 0.000857 0.001127 0.001534 0.002248
2026-03-01 0.000439 0.000536 0.000662 0.000847 0.001121 0.001537 0.002279
2026-03-08 0.000428 0.000524 0.000650 0.000834 0.001110 0.001533 0.002296